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RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES: MARKET, TECHNOLOGY AND REGULATORY OVERVIEW
Renewable energy sources RES are ways to generate energy from unlimited natural resources. These
resources are either available with no time limit or replenished more quickly than the rate at which they
are consumed. Market overview
General market overview: over the last years RES cover the most of investments in energy resources, solar
and wind are the most important, while hydro remains constant. China makes the biggest investments.
PV business models:
Individual self-consumption (can be increased by storage and user behaviour)
Energy selling
Wind market segmentation (most important on-shore wind farms and the business model is energy selling)
Technology overview PV
The photovoltaic effect: based on the direct conversion of the incident solar energy on the earth’s surface
into electricity -> possible thanks to semiconductors (typically siliceous). The semiconductor is treated
(doping process) in order to create an electric current.
Doping process: by inserting atoms of third group (boron) and fifth group (phosphorus) in the crystalline
structure of the silicon, and then putting in contact the 2 different layers doped in different ways you
obtain an electric field that generates voltage when the photovoltaic cell is exposed to light.
PV plant constructive elements:
Phovoltaic modules
Power conditioning system PCS -> used for the conversion from DC (produced by the plant) into AC
(used by electrical equipment)
Supporting structure (with or without tracking system)
Switchboards and cables
Energy meter
(energy storage system)
Available PV cells technologies:
First generation -> sillicium based (mono/poly crystalline) main issue is the high energy
consumption required for silicon production and related emissions
Second generation -> thin film of photovoltaic material on a substrate
Third generation -> organic cell, hybrid cell. The main advantage of organic is that is uses organic
pigments instead of inorganic semiconductor that can be deposited on large surfaces as a very thin
film and at very low cost.
Capex: decreased during the last years a part from 2022 in which cost of raw materials and energy
increased.
Emerging trends for rooftop PV: (barriers are CAPEX, competition with traditional PV and limited
knowledge)
Glazed photovoltaic -> facades and windows
Photovoltaic roof tiles
Solar roofs
Solar shading systems
Solar cloth
Emerging trends for grounded-mounted PV: PV panels can be mounted with fixed orientation or with a
tracking system: single axis tracking system track only during the day -> 25-30% more efficiency. Dual axis
follows yearly movement -> 40% increase.
Technology overview WIND
Conversion of energy associated to the movement of air masses into usable energy carrier. Wind energy is
a renewable and inexhaustible energy source, even if it is possible to use it only in a discontinuous and
heterogeneous manner, because wind intensity, speed and direction are variable and strongly dependent
on the geographical location.
Wind turbine: collection of operating systems that convert the kinetic energy of the wind into electricity.
Wind moves a rotor, equipped with 2/3 blades connected to a horizontal axis. The rotation is transferred,
by a dedicated mechanical gearbox system, to an electricity generator. The electricity produced, after being
adequately transformed to a HV level, is fed into the grid. The wind turbine is placed on a tower, to allow
the rotation of the blades and, to avoid disturbance of air flow in the ground.
2 rotor configurations:
On-shore wind
Wind farm: group of wind turbines which are electrically connected, can have installed capacity up to
hundreds of MW, it occupies 0,13 km^2/MW in which 90-95% can be used for other purpose such as
agriculture. CAPEX 1-1.1 mln €/MW now china is reducing the price a lot, the price could be higher for
development and design stages, land acquisition and arrangement of necessary transport infrastructure.
R&D trends: increased wind capturing efficiency
through: 1) more complex positioning and control
systems of the rotor blades 2) increasing scale of wind
turbines 3) reduction of losses in electrical energy
transformation -> synchronous electric generators
Adoption (based on permanent magnets principle) 4) increase penetration of IT technology and digital
solutions for managing performance and data analysis of wind farms.
Mini wind: plant useful life 20 years. Very high capex, several application fields.
Off shore wind
The technology for the turbine is the same as on-shore.
Advantages:
Higher productivity (up to 30%) due to more constant and less turbulent winds
Less environmental impact (visual)
Disadvantages:
Investment cost 30-50 % higher
Ad hoc infrastructure is required to connect with electricity grid.
Trends:
Increase in the scale of the turbine
Projects for off-shore floating power plants
Types:
Single pile: most diffused solution for its simplicity and low cost for seabed below 50 m.
Jacket: second most diffused solution, best for seabed 10-60 m, lower steel consumption compared
to single pile but higher logistic and installation costs.
Gravity based: third most diffused solution, used when single pile cannot be inserted in the seabed,
adequate for depths under 30 m
Suction-bucket: not diffused, ideal for depth 5-60 m and soft clay seabed. Faster, easier and
cheaper to install, needs preparation of seabed
Regulatory overview
Despite the rapid growth of RES investments in the last years, their investment costs have remained high
compared to conventional sources, to promote RES diffusion it has been necessary to equalize the CAPEX
between RES and conventional.
LCOE (livelised cost of electricity): It is a measure of the competitiveness of different electricity production
technologies. It represents the unitary cost of building and operating a generating plant over an assumed
financial life and duty cycle. The cost is assumed to be constant in the years and expressed in EUR/MWh.
Key inputs to calculate LCOE:
Overnight capital costs
Fuel costs
Fixed and variable operations and maintenance M&O costs
Financing costs
Utilization rate for each plant
Threefold policy approach to support RES diffusion:
Financial support mechanisms -> additional revenue streams to RES plant owners.
Priority access to grid -> dispatching priority: energy generated from RES plants is dispatched on a
priority basis with respect to the other energy sources -> reduce risk of unsold shares
Discourage carbon-emitting power generation -> emission trading scheme ETS: non RES plants
have to purchase allowances equivalent to their emissions
Financial support schemes
Feed-in-tariff: a public authority offers a tariff higher than the electricity spot market price for the
electricity produced or fed in the grid by a RES plant for a certain number of years -> the only source of
revenue is the tariff. The tariff value can be fixed in the period or set for each plant. More used for small
installations.
Feed-in-premium: a tariff is offered by a public authority as an incentive to the RES plant owner, 2 sources
of revenue: the tariff + the market value of electricity (simplified for small installations -> net metering).
The tariff value can be fixed in the period or set for each plant. Used for big installations.
How to sell energy produced by RES plants:
Net metering: arrangement through which producers can manage the discrepancy in time between
the energy production and consumption. The electricity generated by a producer and injected into
the grid can be used to offset the electricity taken from the grid.
Indirect selling: arrangement through which producers sell the electricity injected into the grid to a
public authority, with pre-defined rules for the pricing.
Direct selling: trader
How to control expenses for incentives (in both cases the total power is defined ex ante -> competition to
access incentives scheme):
Plant registers: after a RES plant has been authorized to obtain incentives the investors must
submit an application to the public authority. The public authority applies a set of priority criteria to
examine the submitted applications and identify those eligible. -> list of plants eligible for
incentives.
Tender or auction: RES plant owners have to bid in an auction to access incentives (FIT FIP). Such
auctions have a max and mix value acceptable. Plants admitted to access to incentives are those
with the lowest bids. Auctions take place in a periodic basis and can provide minimum
requirements in terms of technical feature and financial strength of the bidder.
Quota obligations (e.g. green certificates): a public authority defines that a certain share of the electricity
sold on the market should come from RES. This scheme awards RES plant owners with certificates mirroring
the amount of energy generated. Some innovative RES technologies may receive a larger amount of
certificates compared to more established ones to reflect the different cost structure CAPEX and OPEX.
Fossil fuel plants are subject to obligations, they need to collect and deliver to the authority as many
certificates as those corresponding to their obligation every year. They can meet this by investing in their
own RES plant or buying certificates from RES plants owners otherwise they meet penalties. For each MWh
generated a certificate is awarded, there can be a coefficient according to different RES -> market for
certificates is created -> RES producers have 2 sources of revenue: market of energy and market for
certificates.
Tax exemption: favourable tax treatment for RES related investments, can be extended to the supply chain.
RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES: BUSINESS MODELS OVERVIEW
Existing business models (incentivized):
Individual self-consumption -> prosumer: produce at least a portion of the electricity that he needs,
make money by reducing energy bill and energy fed in the grid with FIT in Italy. Distributed
generation: technologies that generate electricity near where it will be used (RES or not, under 10
MW)
Pure selling -> FIP incentives, MW scale
Emerging business models (pushed by reduction of incentive schemes):
Merchant -> non-incentivized plants, built to sell energy in the spot market, big risk to go full
merchant because of obtaining financing and revenues stability -> idea to exploit CfD instead of FIP,
the CfD goes in function of the spot market and can give a more linear shape over time. The strike
price is fixed in function of the spot market and the incentives. (CfD can be with one price or 2 price
system).
ESS (energy storage system) integration
Functionalities of the ESS can be classified in:
Energy intensive applications -> exchange of relatively constant amount of energy for long ti