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Principal-Agent Model
- P is risk neutral and A is risk averse
eL < eH, R1 < R2
eH - PH R2 , R2 > R4
1-PL R4 , PH > PL
A) Symmetric Information
⇒ 1st best contract
Low Effort
Principal's problem: min PLU(w2)+(1-PL)U(w1)
subject to: PLU(w2)+(1-PL)U(w1)-eL ≥ U̅ (PC)
Write ℓ and take ∂ℓ/∂w1=0 & ∂ℓ/∂w2 = 0
⇒ we obtain λ > 0 (PC binding) and λU'(w1)=1 ; λU'(w2)=1 ⇒ w1=w2 ⇒ FIXED WAGE
⇒ λU'(w)=1; w=w̅=U̅
⇒ actual risk sharing since P bears the whole risk : R2-R4
High Effort
Principal's problem: min PHU(w2)+(1-PH)U(w1)
subject to: PHU(w2)+(1-PH)U(w1)-eH ≥ U̅
Write ℓ and take ∂ℓ/∂w1 = 0 & ∂ℓ/∂w2 = 0
⇒ obtain λ > 0 and λU'(w2) = 1 ⇒ w1 = w2 = w*
to find w* substitute N = λU'(w*)
into PC and solve for U*( = eL)
⇒ < U̅ = w̅* = w̅H ⇒ FIXED WAGE
⇒ since RL > eL we get U*(eH) > U*(eL)
P will choose the contract based on his net expected profit = E[R̅ - w̅*(e)]
1) If E[R̅|eH] - w*(eH) > E[R̅|eL] - w*(eL), then the
1st best contract is [high effort, w*(eH)]
2) If E[R̅|eH)] - w*(eH) < E[R̅|eL] - w*(eL), then the
1st best contract is [low effort, w*(eL)]
(b) Asymmetric Information -> 2nd best contract
Low effort
- null contract or sign symmetric info
- since there's no incentive to deviate
E^h = μL(w(E^h)) - eL > μL(w(eL)) - eL
High Effort -> moral hazard problem
s.t.
μH(w(EH)) - eH < μL(w(eH)) - eL
Principal's problem: min Aw1u1 + (1-pH)w2
s.t. pHλ(u2) + (1-pH)μ(u2) = \bar{\pi}\ \bar{\pi} >
pHW(w2) + (1-pH)u(W + w2) - eH 2μ[u2]< -eL -pHμ(u(W))-eL
Write L and take λ
- we obtain \lambda > 0 μ > 0 (PC & IC binding)
FDC becomes:
μ^L(w2) = + μ{1 −
μ(W2) = λ + μ[1 − pL
Given that pH > PL we
FDC:
μ^L(W2) E[R(E^L]- W^*(E^L), the 2nd best contract is
Agency cost paid by p
AC = E[W~^ˉ - W^*(E^H)
deadweight loss
s is worse off while A is not better off
E[R̅-W̅|eH] > E[R̅-W̅|eL]
1/3 (X1-16) + 2/3 (X2-100) > X1-161/3 (X2-100) - 2/3 (X1-16) > 02X2 - 200 - 2X1 - 32 > 02(X2-X1) > 168 ⇒ X2-X1 > 84 ⇒ H = 84
c) If X2-X1 = 100 ⇒ eH is the 2nd best contract
AC = 1/3 .16 + 2/3 .100 - 64 = 8
CREDIT RATIONING - CONFLICT BTW LENDER & BORROWER
Project's value = XH XH > XL
EL(X) = PHXH + (1-PH)XL
- Bank's payoff = RB
- 1-PH ¯̅ ¯̅ ¯̅ ¯̅
- Borrower's ¯̅ ¯̅ ¯̅ ¯̅ RF
- (firm)
1- PH ¯̅ ¯̅ ¯̅ ¯̅ ¯̅
Bank is risk-averse ⇒ bank's RB = min(D(u+t), X¯̅ )
Firm is risk lover ⇒ firm’s RF = max(X¯̅ - D(u+t), 0)
credit rationing with MORAL HAZARD (B.I & F riskneutral) PROJECTS' VALUE
Firm is self funded (no debt)
⇒ It selects project X¯̅ since it has a higher expected value (less risky) ⇒ efficient choice
CREDIT MKT
Type I
- 0.9 X1 = 10
- 0.1 X2 = 7
π = type I / type I + type II = 0.4
Type II
- 0.8 Y1 = 12
- 0.2 X2 = 4
Firm borrows only if E[value asset - D(1 + r)] ≥ 1
a) D = 8 r = 10% ⇒ D(1 + r) = 8.8
E(X) = 0.9 (10 - 8.8) = 1.08 ⇒ type I borrows
E(Y) = 0.8 (12 - 8.8) = 2.56 ⇒ type II borrows
Expected value of loan for bank = 0.4[0.9·8.8 + 0.1·7] + 0.6[0.8·8.8 + 0.2·4] = 8.15
b) D = 8 r = 12% ⇒ D(1 + r) = 8.96
E(X) = (10 - 8.96)·0.9 = 0.936 < 1 ⇒ type I doesn't borrow anymore
E(Y) = (12 - 8.96)·0.8 = 2.432 > 1 ⇒ type II still borrows
Expected value of loan for bank = 0.8·8.96 + 0.2·4 = 7.968
⇒ the expected value for the bank decreases ⇒ it’s not convenient for the bank to increase r since it will end up lending only to the riskier individuals
⇒ despite the nominal value of the credit increase, the expected return decreases
Unfair premium
p > π L (when mkt is not competitive)
u'(w2)
T(L-p) / (1-π) p < λ ⇒ u'(w1) ≥ u'(w2)
Partial insurance
- Solve for α & λ ⇒ y2-αp > y2 + α(L-p) and find that α* < 1
Partial insurance leads to an increase of expected utility but lower than under full insurance
E[u(wj)] > E[u(q)]
E[u(w)] = utility without insurance
E[u(wj)] = μ E(q)
Maximum price a risk-averse individual is willing to pay for full insurance ( α = 1 )
Indifference condition
u(y1-p*) = E[u(q)] ⇒ u(y1-p*) = (1-π)u(y1) + π u(y2)
p* = reservation price
Assume sells for p ≤ p*
Consumer buys for p ≤ p*
Consumer doesn't buy for p > p*
Is it fair?
u(y1-p*) = E0u(q)
y1-p* ≤ E2y ⇒ y1-p* ≤ y1-π L
p* > π L
E[u(w)] > E[q] = π u(y2) + (1-π)u(y1)
μ E[q] = μ [π y2 + (1-π) y4]
E[u(q)] < μ E[q]