Assumptions
Assumptions
CHAPTER 2
Assumptions
Assumptions
Principal (P) - Agent (A)
Principal (P) - Agent (A)
We have a principal P (the employer, the bank) and an agent A (the worker, he has to sell
Probability distribution of Return conditional on E§
A can choose between two EFFORT levels: e can be either LOW (e )
L
A can choose between two EFFORT levels: e can be either LOW (e )
financial products). L
or HIGH (e )
Principal (P) - Agent (A) (Figure 1)
umptions H or HIGH (e )
A can choose between two effort levels: eL and eH, with eH>eL.
H
<
Disutility: e e
A can choose between two EFFORT levels: e can be either LOW (e )
L H L
<
Disutility: e e
The outcome of A’s behavior is the return (value of shares sold in one period) going to P,
L H
The outcome of A’s behavior is the RETURN going to P, which is a
or HIGH (e )
Principal (P) - Agent (A) H
Assumptions
The outcome of A’s behavior is the RETURN going to P, which is a
e
which is a random variable R~ with possible values R2>R1.
>
random variable (
R) with possible values: R R
<
Disutility: e e 2 1
L H e
A can choose between two EFFORT levels: e can be either LOW (e ) >
random variable (
R) with possible values: R R
L
The relationship between effort and returns is stochastic: 2 1
The relationship between EFFORT and RETURN is stochastic (see
The outcome of A’s behavior is the RETURN going to P, which is a
or HIGH (e )
H The relationship between EFFORT and RETURN is stochastic (see
Principal (P) - Agent (A)
e
-if effort is high
Figure 1 ): >
random variable (
R) with possible values: R R
" #
<
Disutility: e e 2 1
L H Figure 1 ):
A can choose between two EFFORT levels: e can be either LOW (e )
" #
e L
The relationship between EFFORT and RETURN is stochastic (see
= | =
If e§ort is high: P R R e p ,
The outcome of A’s behavior is the RETURN going to P, which is a
2 H H R
e R
" #
or HIGH (e ) = | =
If e§ort is high: P R R e p , 2 2
H 2 H H
Figure 1 ):
e >
" #
random variable (
R) with possible values: R R
" #
e P
= | = −
2 1
P R R e 1 p <
Disutility: e e L
1 H H P
L H
e
e
" # " # H
= | =
If e§ort is high: P R R e p ,
= | = −
P R R e 1 p
The relationship between EFFORT and RETURN is stochastic (see
2 H H
1 H H
The outcome of A’s behavior is the RETURN going to P, which is a
" # " # " #
e e
= | = = | = −
If e§ort is low: P R R e p , P R R e 1 p
Figure 1 ): 2 1
L L L L
e e
e e e e
" # L H
= | = − >
P R R e 1 p = | = = | = −
random variable (
R) with possible values: R R
If e§ort is low: P R R e p , P R R e 1 p
1 2 1
H H 2 1
L L L L
High e§ort makes higher outcome more likely than low e§ort does:
" # " #
e = | =
If e§ort is high: P R R e p ,
The relationship between EFFORT and RETURN is stochastic (see
2 H H 1-P
-if effort is low High e§ort makes higher outcome more likely than low e§ort does:
e e
" # 1-P H
= | = = | = −
If e§ort is low: P R R e p , P R R e 1 p
>
p p (stochastic dominance) L R R
2 1
L L L L
" # " #
H L 1 1
Figure 1 ):
e >
p p (stochastic dominance)
= | = − " #
P R R e 1 p " # " #
H L
e e
1 H H
High e§ort makes higher outcome more likely than low e§ort does:
| > |
Implication: E R e E R e
" # " # e
H L
e e
= | =
If e§ort is high: P R R e p ,
| > |
Implication: E R e E R e
2 H H
e e H L
>
p p (stochastic dominance)
= | = = | = −
" #
If e§ort is low: P R R e p , P R R e 1 p
" # " #
H L
2 1
L L L L P >P
Angelo Baglioni () 2018 2 / 34
e H L
e e
= | = −
P R R e 1 p
| > |
Implication: E R e E R e
1 H H
High e§ort makes higher outcome more likely than low e§ort does:
Angelo Baglioni () 2018 2 / 34
H L
" # " #
>
p p (stochastic dominance) e e
= | = = | = −
If e§ort is low: P R R e p , P R R e 1 p
" # " #
H L 2 1
L L L L
Angelo Baglioni () 2018 2 / 34
e e
| > |
Implication: E R e E R e
High effort makes higher outcome more likely than low effort does: pH>pL. Direct
High e§ort makes higher outcome more likely than low e§ort does:
H L Angelo Baglioni ()
implication: >
p p (stochastic dominance)
" # " #
H L
Angelo Baglioni () 2018 2 / 34 Preferences: Principal
e e
Preferences: Principal | > |
Implication: E R e E R e
H L
Angelo Baglioni () 2018 2 / 34
Asymmetric information: HIDDEN action A can observe both outcome R~ and action e.
P can observe R~ but he cannot observe the action e taken by A.
Principal is RISK NEUTRAL
Principal is RISK NEUTRAL
Preferences Principal: risk neutral.
Principal is Utility function is e f
( − )
Utility function v R W , where:
e f
( − )
Utility function v R W , where: e
R is his Return
e
R is his Return f
where R~ is the return, W~ is the wage it pays to A (assuming W~ is a
W is the WAGE he pays to A
Preferences: Agent
f
W is the WAGE he pays to A f e
function of R~, with W2>=W1). ≥
(assuming that W is a function of R, with W 2
f e ≥
(assuming that W is a function of R, with W W )
2 1
v() is a linear utility function v(x)=a+b(x). From the properties of the linear function
() ( ) = +
v is a LINEAR utility function: v x a bx
() ( ) = +
v is a LINEAR utility function: v x a bx ( )] = +
[ [
Property of the linear function: E v x E a
( )] = + = + ( )
[ [ ]
Property of the linear function: E v x E a bx a bE x
So P wants to maximise the Expected Value of his Net Return:
e f
Hence P wants to maximize the Expected Value of his net return E(R~-W~).
( − )
E R W Agent is RISK AVERSE
Preferences Agent: risk averse.
Agent is Utility function is f f
( ) = ( ) −
Utility function u W , e u W e
f f f
0 00
( ) ( ) > ( ) <
where u W CONCAVE: u W 0 and u W 0
where u() is concave u’(W~)>0 and u’’(W~)<0. Reservation level of utility: u
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A has a reservation level of utility of u.
Angelo Baglioni () 2018 5 / 34
Solving the P-A problem
We look for the optimal equilibrium contract, the best contract that the two parties can
design, given the constraints of the problem.
Bargaining structure is the following:
-P makes a take-it-or-leave it offer to A
-A can accept or refuse
-so all bargaining power is assigned to P, but this does not alter the properties of eq.
Angelo Baglioni ()
Two step procedure: we find the optimal contract under SYM, the 1st best; then the
optimal with ASYM, the 2nd best.
Agency cost can be derived by compering 1st best to 2nd best.
A) SYMMETRIC INFORMATION contractible.
Givent that P can observe both R~ and e, the action e is
Symmetric info: LOW e§ort
For each action, we must find the least costly contract for P, given the reservation
constraint of A
Principal’s problem:
+ ( − )
min p W 1 p W
2 1
L L
( ) + ( − ) ( ) − ≥
s.to p u W 1 p u W e u (PC)
2 1
L L L
= + ( − ) − ( ) + ( − ) ( ) − −
l [ ]
L p W 1 p W p u W 1 p u W e u
2 1 2 1
L L L L L
FOC:
∂L 0
= − ( ) =
lp
p u W 0
2
L L
∂W 2
∂L 0
= ( − ) − ( − ) ( ) =
l
1 p 1 p u W 0 We can derive ORS principle
1
L L
∂W 1 We can derive ORS principle
=
l
Can be 0 (PC slack)?
= = ( − ) =
l
No: with 0 FOC imply p 0 and 1 p 0, which cannot
L L
be >
l
So it is 0 and PC binding FOC can be written as:
FOC can be written as:
0
= ( )
lu
1 W
FOC can be written as 2
0
= ( )
lu
1 W
0 2
= ( )
lu
1 W 1
Angelo Baglioni () 2018 9 / 34
0
= ( )
lu
1 W 1 =
which imply that W W (FIXED WAGE): Optimal Risk
1 2
=
which imply that W W (FIXED WAGE): Optimal Risk
1 2 −
P bears the whole risk: R R
Equilibrium contract (1st best)
FIXED WAGE: Optimal Risk Sharing ORS,
which imply that W1=W2 P bears the whole
2 1
−
P bears the whole risk: R R
2 1
risk R2-R1. What determines the level of W ?
Equilibrium contract (1st best)
What determines the level of W ?
∗ ( )] − =
[
PC: u W e e u
What determines the level of W? L L ∗ (
∗
The same procedure applies to HIGH e§ort, leading to W
( )] − =
[
PC: u W e e u
Equilibrium contract (1st best) L L ∗
determined by: ( )
The same procedure applies to HIGH e§ort, leading to W e H
and the same applies for HIGH eff: ∗ ( )] − =
[
PC: u W e e u
determined by: H H
∗
∗ ( )
The same procedure applies to HIGH e§ort, leading to W e ∗ ∗
( )] − =
[
PC: u W e e u > ( ) > ( )
Of course, from e e we get W e W e .
H
H H H L H L
determined by: ∗ ∗ ∗
> ( ) > ( )
Of course, from e e we get W e W e . [ (
Which contract will P propose? Either high e§ort, W e
H L H L
Of course eH>eL, so we get W*(eH)>W*(eL). H
∗ ( )] − =
[
PC: u W e e u ∗
H H ( )] ∗
e§ort, W e ? [ ( )] [
Which contract will P propose? Either high e§ort, W e or low
Which contract will P propose? [high effort, W*(eH)] or [low effort, W*(eL)]?
L H
∗ ∗ Angelo Baglioni ()
> ( ) > ( )
Of course, from e e we get W e W e . ∗
H L H L ( )]
e§ort, W e ?
P will chose the one that maximises his own NET expected
P will choose the one that maximizes his own net expected return as we’ve said:
Angelo Baglioni ()
L ! $
∗
[ ( )] [
Which contract will P propose? Either high e§ort, W e or low
e f ∗
H − ( )
P will chose the one that maximises his own NET expected return:
E R W e
! $
∗ ( )]
e§ort, W e ? e f
L ∗
− ( )
E R W e Two alternative cases:
! $ ! $
P will chose the one that maximises his own NET expected return:
! $ e e
∗ ∗
Two alternative cases: | − ( ) > | − ( )
(A) If E R e W e E R e W e , the
! $ ! $
H H L L
e f ∗
− ( )
E R W e
Two alternative cases: e e
∗ ∗ ∗
| − ( ) > | − ( )
(A) If E R e W e E R e W e , then the 1st
( )]
[
best Equilibrium Contract is: high e§ort, W e
H H L L H
! $ ! $
Two alternative cases:
! $ ! $ ∗ ( )]
[
best Equilibrium Contract is: high e§ort, W e
e e
∗ ∗
| − ( ) < | − ( )
H
(B) If E R e W e E R e W e , the
e e ! $ ! $
∗ ∗ H H L L
| − ( ) > | − ( )
(A) If E R e W e E R e W e , then the 1st
H H L L e e
∗ ∗ ∗
| − ( ) < | − ( )
(B) If E R e W e E R e W e , then the 1st
( )]
[
best Equilibrium Contract is: low e§ort, W e
H H L L
∗ L
( )]
[
best Equilibrium Contract is: high e§ort, W e H
! $ ! $ ∗ ( )]
[
best Equilibrium Contract is: low e§ort, W e L
e e
∗ ∗
| − ( ) < | − ( )
(B) If E R e W e E R e W e , then the 1st
Angelo Baglioni ()
H H L L
∗ ( )]
[
best Equilibrium Contract is: low e§ort, W e
Angelo Baglioni () 2018 11 / 34
L
Angelo Baglioni () 2018 11 / 34
Asymmetric information
B) ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION
cannot observe
P can observe R~, but he the action e taken by A.
e
P can observe R, but he CANNOT OBSERVE the action e taken by
LOW effort.
Let us now focus on P proposes the 1st best contract, [low effort, W*(eL)].
A.
Does it work? Let us focus on LOW e§ort. P proposes the 1st best contract:
Yes, because ∗
∗ ( )]
[ low e§ort, W e . Does it work?
L
L ∗ ∗
∗ ∗
( )] − > ( )] −
[ [
Yes, because u W e e u W e e , so A will not
L L L H
L L L H
deviate.
so A will not deviate. ∗
∗ ( )
Fixed wage contract (W e : the same as under Symmetric Info)
L
L
Fixed wage contract ( the same as under symmetric info) can be used when P wants A to
can be used when P wants A to take the LEAST COSLTY action for
NO MORAL HAZARD HERE.
take the least costly action for A:
A: NO MORAL HAZARD here!
HIGH effort.
Let us now focus on P proposes the 1st best contract, [high effort, W*(eH)].
Let us focus on HIGH e§ort. P proposes the 1st best contract:
Does it work? ∗
∗ ( )]
[ high e§ort, W e . Does it work?
H
H
NO, because ∗ ∗
∗ ∗
( )] − < ( )] −
[ [
NO, becuase u W e e u W e e , so A will deviate:
H H H L
H H H L
MORAL HAZARD!
P cannot apply any penalty for deviation, because he does not
MORAL HAZARD.
so A will deviate: observe A’s e§ort (action is not contractible).
any penalty
P cannot apply for deviation, because he does not observe A’s effort
So P will not propose the 1st best contract.
(remember action e is not contractible).
Angelo Baglioni () 2018 12 / 34
Angelo Baglioni () 2018 12 / 34
So P will not propose 1st best contract with high effort.
Looking for the Incentive Compatible Contract. P looks for a contract that creates an
incentive for A to exert high effort.
Intuition: P should design a random wage W~ increasing in R~. Hence A knows that, by
taking high effort, he will make higher outcomes R~ and higher wage W~ more likely.
P will look for the wage schedule that minimizes E(W~), given the Participation Constraint
PC and the Incentive Compatibility IC constraint.
IC constraint: A gets more utility from high effort than from low effort.
Principal’s problem:
+ ( − )
min p W 1 p W
2 1
H H
s.to
Getting to the solution
( ) + ( − ) ( ) − ≥
p u W 1 p u W e u (PC)
2 1
H H H
( ) + ( − ) ( ) − ≥ ( ) + ( − ) ( ) −
p u W 1 p u W e p u W 1 p u W e
2 1 2 1
H H H L L L
(IC) > >
l µ
=
So it must be 0 and 0 (both PC and IC binding)
L + ( − ) − ( ) + ( − ) ( ) − − −
l [ ]
p W 1 p W p u W 1 p u W e u
FOC can be written as
2 1 2 1
h i
H H H H H
…
[ ( ) + ( − ) ( ) − − ( ) − ( − ) ( ) + ]
µ p u W 1 p u W e p u W 1 p u W e
p
1 = + −
l µ 1 L
2 1 2 1
H H H L L L
0 p
( )
u W
(with both lambda and mu =0 ph=0 and 1-ph=0, which cannot be.
h i
H
2
FOC: ( − )
1 p
1 L
= + −
l µ 1
with lambda=0 the second FOC becomes …, where LHS>0 and RHS<0.
∂L 0 0 0
0 ( ) ( − )
u W 1 p
= − ( ) − ( ) − ( )] =
lp µ [
p u W p u W p u W 0
1 H
2 2 2
H H H L
∂W
with mu=0 u’(W1)=u’(W2), implying W2=W1=W, which leads to a violation of IC (because
2 1
∂L > > l
First FOC: p p implies 0
= ( − ) − ( − ) ( ) −
l
1 p 1 p u W
H L 0 1
H H ( )
u W
∂W
IC becomes W-eH>=W-eL implying eL-eH>=0 which cannot be, eH>eL). )
2
1 0 0 1
− ) ( ) − ( − ) ( )] =
µ [( 1 p u W 1 p u W 0
( − ) < ( − ) < l
Second FOC: 1 p 1 p implies
1 1
H L
H L
… 0 ( )
u W 1
which can be written as:
1
0 0
So u’(W2)<u’(W1), which implies (since marginal utility u’(W1) is decreasing) W2>W1.
( ) < < ( ) >
Therefore: u W u W , which implies W W (given
2 1 2 1
l
p − − − =
lp µ [ ]
p p 0
H Equilibrium contract (2nd best)
0
H H L
( )
Bottom line: The Incentive Compatible Contract is a random wage W*~ INCREASING in
that marginal utility u W is decreasing)
0 ( )
u W 2
( − )
1 p
the outcome R~:
H − ( − ) − − ) − ( − )] =
l µ [(
1 p 1 p 1 p 0
Bottom line: the Incentive Compatible Contract is a random wage
H H L
0 ( )
u W 1
f e
∗ ∗ ∗
> >
W INCREASING in the outcome R: W W (given R R ).
2 1
2 1
Angelo Baglioni () 2018 14 / 34
Which contract will P propose? f
Which contract will P propose? W*(eL) (inducing A to take low effort) or
∗ ∗
( )
Either W e (inducing A to take low e§ort) or W (inducing A to
L
Angelo Baglioni () 2018 16 / 34
(inducing A to take high effort)? take high e§ort)?
P will chose the one that maximises his own NET expected return.
Two alternative cases:
" $ " $
e f e
∗ ∗
&minu
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