UNIT 1 - FINANCIAL SYSTEMS
What are financial systems? Systems that allow the transfer of money between savers
and borrowers.
Contemporary economics is based on:
a• Exchange based on money
b• Specialization
Money has 2 advantages:
- universal mean of exchange
- measure of value
We have two categories of agents:
Surplus spending units (SSUs)àpeople with more money than the money they need
(households, but also businesses and governments can find themselves in this kind of
situation)
Deficit spending units (DSUs)àpeople with less money than the money they need
(firms and governments). Firms are structurally in deficit because they make
investments. Governments are structurally in deficit because the needs of the people
they run change and grow.
It’s crucial that money flows from SSUs to DSUs. Thanks to the financial system,
resources are allocated in a more efficient way—> savings are transformed into
growth and
investments—> finance is great in the sense that it is crucial for
development.
direct finance
In borrowers borrow funds directly from lenders in financial markets
by selling them securities (also called Financial Instruments) which are claims on the
borrower’s future income or assets.
interest rates
Through the two positions are made equivalent/balanced—>Which are
the criteria to determine an interest rate?
- time—> inter-temporal substitution rate: comparison between present and future
utility; the longer the time the greater the utility/disutility
- risk—> compensation
π+r
Fisher equation: i =
π=inflation
r=real interest rate
Interest rate is therefore determines by: -rate of inter temporal substitution; inflation;
credit risk.
The financial system carries out its function through 3 components:
- assets
financial (medium)
- institutions
financial (entities such as banks/intermediaries)
- markets
financial (where transfer takes place)
three obstacles:
The money flow can be hindered by big
1)Transaction costs: relationships between DSU and SSU are extremely costly (the
way funds are obtained). Categories:
-costs of finding a counterpart
-costs of negotiating the contract
-costs of legal writing
-costs of monitoring
These costs are important to investors because they are one of the key determinants of
net returns. They diminish returns, and over time, reduce the amount of capital
available to invest—> giving up the deal—> inefficiency (Coase theorem).
Moreover, human beings have a number of limitations—> we don’t do what we
cognitive limitations:
recognize we should do—> we are quite far from the rational
agent assumed by the economic theory, we go for suboptimal decisions.
Our imperfection is a transaction cost—> our bounded rationality affects the way we
deal with economic transaction.
Financial intermediaries can reduce transactions costs because they have developed
expertise in lowering them and because their large size allows them to take advantage
economies of scale,
of the reduction in transaction costs per dollar of transactions as
the size of the transactions increases.
2)Asymmetry of information: It concerns a conflict of interest in any relationship
where one party is expected to act in another’s best interest: because the two parties
have different interests and the agent has more information, the principal cannot
hazard)—
directly ensure that its agent is always acting in his best interests (moral
>uncertainty/ risk of the principal of being cheated.
MH in financial markets is the risk that the borrower might engage in activities that
are undesirable from the lender’s point of view, because they make it less likely that
the loan will be paid back. Because MH lowers the probability that the loan will be
repaid, lenders may decide that they would rather not make a loan.
There is asymmetry of information because the agent can hide something to the
principal
-
the principal can monitor the agent in the achievement of the task—> the cost is
quite high
-
the agent can bond or use a signal(but these are costly way too).
These costs can be so high that the relationship cannot work anymore
Trust is the simplest way to manage all these problems—> most precious good in
finance.
Example: DSUs is the agent and can affect SSUs’ wealth.
Shareholders are principals and mangers are agents (typical US corporation); the life
of a corporation is filled with agency problems and law can correct these
inefficiencies.
The manager is supposed to make decisions that will maximize shareholder wealth;
the manager's own best interest to maximize his own wealth. He can be motivated to
act in the shareholders' best interests through incentives such as:
- performance-based compensation
- direct influence by shareholders
- threat of being fired and the threat of a takeover
The idea that the counterparty could be a cheater generates a reaction discouraging
adverse
the money flow: raising of interest rates and demand for a guarantee —>
selection. This occurs before the transaction takes place. It occurs when the potential
borrowers who are the most likely to produce an undesirable (adverse) outcome (the
bad credit risk) are the ones who most actively seek out a loan and are thus most
likely to be selected. Because this makes it more likely that loans might be made to
bad credit risks, lenders may decide not to make any loans even though there are
good credit risks in the marketplace.
Successful and trustworthy Fin. Int. are better equipped than individuals to screen out
reducing
bad credit risks from good ones, thereby losses due to adverse selection. In
addition, they have developed expertise in monitoring the parties they lend to, thus
reducing losses due to moral hazard.
3) Differences in preferences. different preferences
SSUs and DSUs have in terms of
time and risk (short term-low risk vs long term-high risk)
DSUs have to wait until the end of the production cycle to make profits; since they
are entrepreneurs they are taking more risks
SSUs like low risk and short term
DSUs like high risk and long term.
We have to find a way to manage this mismatch, otherwise the money would not
flow.
Possible ways:
- banks
- capital markets
THE ROLE OF BANKS
Are created to solve the problems because they are intermediaries: basically, the job
of a bank is borrowing money from the SSUs’ deposit and lending money to the DSUs
through credit. savers:
SSUs are called they lend money to banks through deposits—> contracts
where the saver has a right to get his money back or the interests on the deposit
(liabilities for banks).
borrowers:
DSUs are called they receive money from banks through loans/mortgages.
Mortgage is much broader concept than loan: if the borrower doesn’t pay back the
money, the bank has the right to sell the collateral (house)—>it’s a guaranteed loan.
Mortgage requires a piece of real estate as a guarantee—> if you give as guarantee
pledge.
something different from real estate, it’s called
You can also give a bond as guarantee; in this case the bond is a promise to pay on
behalf of a different person.
of information:
-Asymmetry once again, banks manage the asymmetries of
economies of scale(because
information through their banks deal with many lenders
and many borrowers, the average cost for matching unit falls progressively). By
becoming a central counterparty, the bank solves the problem with asymmetry in
information: the bank borrows money short-term and at no risk because the bank
always pays back and lend high risk long- term. specialization:
Banks manage information asymmetries by their their expertise and
relationship-based approach allows banks to collect and elaborate information more
easily.
The business of the bank is the difference between the interest charged to the DSUs
and the interest paid by SSUs.
Bank pays 1% to SSUs and the interest rate is so low because the deposit is short-term
and no risk and it asks 5% interest rate to DSUs and makes a 4% profit as a
compensation for their job as intermediary.
But this structure brings with it another problem: banks /because they act as banks/
structurally unstable, unbalanced.
intermediaries) are In fact, banks are bound under
a contract to pay the money to SSUs when they want but they may get money from
DSUs only when the term of the credit contract (e.g. loan) is expired. They borrow
short-term and lend long-term. And if the borrowers ask for money back, banks may
not have the liquidity to pay back them because the deadline of the loan is not
expired yet. in preferences.
-Differences secondary market could be a solution. See capital
markets. implications
Two important with banks:
banks’ profit is based on the difference (in economic terms: spread) between the
-
interest paid on deposits and the interest received on loans (transaction costs problem)
-the asimmetry between deposits and loans brings about a structural risk of
instability; thus, mantaining reserves to satisfy the demand for deposits’ return is
crucial
THE ROLE OF CAPITAL MARKETS (Investment Banks)
They allow money to flow directly from SSUs to DSUs, thus:
- avoiding the cost of banking intermediation
- shifting credit risk on original lenders and requiring matching of preferences
If we imagine to get rid of the bank and rely on a direct agreement between the two
parties, they can save the interest charged on both sides by the bank; the problem is
that the three imperfections that make the market inefficient will come back again.
Crucial difference between commercial banks and investment banks operating in the
capital markets—> there isn’t a strong interposition between the two contractual
parties as commercial banks do, but it is only an intermediation that helps DSUs get
interposition).
in contact with SSUs (weak
Transaction costs are managed by the presence of financial intermediaries, which
arrange transactions more cheaply exploiting their economies of scale and
specializations.
Information asymmetries in capital markets are overcome in different ways:
- - Strategies related to third parties: financial intermediaries signal the quality of
reputation
relevant financial assets by pledging their (the brand matters because
participants have the possibility to trust it given past experiences and for the fact that
there is no reason for cheating).
Another strategy may involve the use of a third professional party whose
- agencies
judgement is reliable—>rating that operate in the market: show the level of
quality of financial assets and are trusted by everyone.
Regulation transparency
- increases and manages agency problems (in
disclosure.
particular when financial assets are risk capital)—>mandatory
Preferences asymmetries secondary markets,
are dealt with by the presence of
-
often regulated, which provide liquidity—> allowing diversification and
communicating information; it is a financial market in which securities that have been
previously issued can be resold (the primary markets for securities are not well known
to the public because the selling of securities to initial buyers often takes place behind
closed doors). A regulated market is a virtual place where it is possible to find
available counterparts for every transaction needed at lower transaction costs.
Liquidity is crucial and represents the level of quality of a secondary market because
it allows easy trading of bearing-rights instruments at low transaction costs. A liquid
secondary market is helped by creating market places where transaction costs are
reduced to zero by identifying a place and a time where buyers and sellers get
together. In this case, you get very liquid market. The highest the liquidity, the better
capital markets work.
BANKS VS CAPITAL MARKETS
From both a theoretical and a historical perspective, financial system may be more
relationship-based systems)
bank-oriented/centered (in economic terms: or capital
arm’s length systems)
markets- oriented (in economic terms: —> trade-off.
A) Relationship-based systems
Key features:
a) direct long-term
Transactions are conducted on the basis of a and generally
relationship
Better forms of insurance:
- tends to smooth temporary shocks and the prospect of
future rents may induce a lender to interact and bail out possible financially distressed
borrowers. The opposite is true for systematic shocks.
reducing access to financing:
The cost is represented by a it is quite difficult to be
-
granted a loan because a long-lasting relationship is needed and it takes time and
many efforts.
b) private information.
The lender has
c) direct influence monopolistic power
Lender has on the borrower and in the
market ownership
- The simplest form of power is when the lender has (implicit or explicit)
of the firm. The lender can also serve as the sole or main lender, supplier, or customer.
In all of these forms, the financier typically attempts to secure her return on
investment by retaining some kind of monopoly over the firm she finances. As with
every monopoly, this requires some barriers to entry. These barriers may be due to
regulation, or to a lack of transparency - or "opacity" - of the system, which
substantially raises the costs of entry to potential competitors. Time is this barrier. It
takes time to establish a relationship.
price signals:
- Weaker role for In such a system financing will take place only when
competition is somehow restricted, and hence when prices tend to be not very
informative. For example, given that the lender has private information that nobody
does, there may be a possible distortion in the composition of prices (the lender could
exploit its position and increase interest rate so the way prices is formed is
conditioned by the power of the bank). The consequence could be a widespread and
costly misallocation of resources.
d) greater government intervention
There is a
A relationship-based system is naturally more prone to government direction because
it depends more heavily on the government to maintain the restrictions on
competition that enable it to work. Furthermore, in an opaque environment financial
intermediaries need some government supervision to be perceived as reliable. This
supervisory power, however, gives the government a powerful lever that can be used
to coerce these intermediaries into actions it deems desirable.
opacity
- The of the relationship-based system makes it easier for the Government to
intervene also because it is less visible and hides the real cost of this intervention.
Example: if the government wants to reduce expansion in a certain economy, it may
either directly increase taxes on consumption (unpopular move) or order banks to
raise the reserve requirements (banks would make fewer loans and as a result, people
would spend less slowing the growth). works well
Therefore we can conclude by saying that a relationship-based system
when markets and firms are smaller:
- that’s why in the US, which is mostly a
market-based system, there are more big enterprises while in Italy SMEs are more
widespread (better with small, homogeneous and closed economy/emerging markets)
legal protection is weaker:
- relationship financing is largely self-governing and self-
enforcing, requiring just the protection of the most basic property rights. Parties want
to maintain their reputation, so they tend to “honor” the spirit of the agreement (often
in the absence of any written contract) in order to ensure a steady flow of future
business within the same network of firms
little transparency innovation incremental,
- there is and is mostly rather than
revolutionary: if the technology is a minor modification of tried and tested
technologies, the payoffs from funding eventually successful technologies is likely to
be small in a market-based system, but here lenders have the ability to probe deeper
and screen out most of the likely failures.
B) Arm’s length systems
Key features:
a) There is no need for a strong and long-term relationship between lenders and
relationship).
borrowers (short-term
greater access to financing:
- there is a variety of potential lenders who are
willing to invest according to my needs where a long-term relationship is not needed
greater exposure to shocks:
- the cost is represented by a in an arm’s-length
system, competition eliminates future rents, destroying any incentive to pay for the
cost of a bailout. More importantly, such intervention cannot even be insured
contractually at a reasonable cost and unconditional insurance would create the
conditions for severe moral hazard. The opposite is true for systematic shocks.
b) no special information
Parties involved have about each other that is not already
available to the general public.
- The firm will be able to tap a wider circle of potential lenders because there
will be more widespread financial information about it. Thus, when information can
be easily diffused, competition to lend increases, and the benefits of an arm’s length
system also increase. In this sense, the advent of the Internet is playing a big role in
making arm’s length financing more attractive—> Liquidity.
c) Open competition among lenders.
- Stronger role for price signal: the more transactions that come into the market,
the more likely it is that decisions made on the basis of price are likely to be the right
ones (prices are more informative).
Example: given that there is no private information (insider trading is a crime) so
everyone has the same information, if the lender increases the interest rate, the
borrower would find another lender who offers less, therefore there is no distortion in
the way price is formed.
d) Government intervention visible difficult.
is more and, thus, more
Therefore a market-based system works better:
- when ma
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