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Production Planning Intro
Planning and control of production systems is needed to plan and control the use of resources to use them efficiently and meet customer requirements.
Production Management has to:
- Identify customer requirements (or estimate them)
- Aggregate requirements into a production plan
- Execute the plan
- Monitor the plan's effectiveness
Production Management is related to these activities:
- Creation and adjustment of production capacity
- Set up of the production system for new productions
- Generation and management of production plans
Production Planning and Control PP&C is based on the orders portfolio and sales forecasts and it deals with:
- Generation of production orders
- Their assignment to production units (in which shop production)
- Plan the required components (old, external) and new materials
- Assign jobs to workcenters
- Monitoring and control of production plan progress
So, production planning answers to:
- WHAT - which product
- WHEN - time horizon
- HOW - materials
- WHERE - which workcenter
- HOW MUCH - quantity, lot size
The problem is highly complex, due to the many variables to take into account, many constraints, internal and external uncertainties and conflicting objectives.
In fact, we would like to satisfy each single request and so have product availability, but also a regularity in utilization of machines, labour force minimization of shocks and a long term view.
These things are difficult to be obtained all together.
The Hierarchical Approach helps to cope with PP complexity.
Hierarchical Approach
The higher the detail, the shorter the time horizon.
- Strategic
- 2-5 years horizon
- Production level
- Planned as whole (long term production)
- Medium Term
- 1 year horizon
- Fulfill forecasted demand
- Product families are planned
- Operative
- 1 week/day horizon
- Fulfill each production order
- Each part is planned: when, where, how - high level of detail
After production is done:
Production Budgeting
Aggregate Planning
Master Production Schedule (MPS) plans 1 year, month by month.
Material Planning
All the items required to produce a product are planned (Push vs Pull, materials requirement plan).
Production Scheduling
Planning the single operation of the single machine (very high detail).
Production Control & Performance Measurements
Let's see an overview of them:
- Aggregate Planning
Accounting Data (costs, ...) Demand (orders & forecast) -> Aggregate Planning Item Master Data -> Materials Planning 0.6 acceptable
if r ≈ 1 a significant linear correlation exists
PROS
- Takes into account external factors
- Higher knowledge of the product
- Can be integrated with time series
CONS
- Cumbersome data analysis
- The relationship must be built and validated
- Caused factors must be forecasted better than demand
Qualitative Approaches
Sales Force
Knowledge of customers is an affair of sales force. Knowledge of customer macroeconomic pattern, are gathered and elaborated by a bottom-up approach (salesmen, area manager, marketing division)
Expert Panel
A group of people belonging to different functions (marketing, design, production, finance) is in charge of making forecasts (one guy is stronger than the others, his considerations are more taken into account)
Delphi Method
Interaction of a group of experts through a questionnaire (anonymous) done several times without direct interaction between members till a consensus is reached