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PART 2: CORPORATE FINANCE
What is corporate finance?
- ASSESSING INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES
- DECIDING HOW TO FINANCE INVESTMENTS
APPLY Theory to real world situations:
- Big picture of corporate financial decisions
- Understanding what happens in the real financial world
3 objectives of the course:
- INVESTMENT (hurdle rate, return on investment)
- FINANCING (mix of debt and equity, right type of debt)
- DIVIDEND (how to give it back to owners)
Maximize the value of the enterprise MAX EV = Σt=1∞ [CFt / (1+ra)t]
5) Cash flows (not earnings) are king in finance
Reconciliating the parts of a balance sheet of a company according to liquidity (from current assets and liabilities are supposed to be converted into cash).
CURRENT < 1 year
LONG TERM > 1 year
It gives a perspective on the past performance of the firm.
A Financial Perspective on a BS
FINANCIAL BALANCE SHEET
ASSETS
- A. IN PLACE investments already made (that generate cash today)
- CURRENT ASSETS the value that will be created by future investments (EXPECTATIONS)
LIABILITIES
- DEBT fixed claim on cash flows (No role in management) TAX DEDUCTIBLE
- EQUITY the amount depends on corporate governance and the stage of the life cycle of the firm
The closer to maturity, the higher the amount of dividends paid (PAY-OUT RATIO)
NATURE OF THE BUSINESS (INDUSTRY)
FINANCING DECISIONS depend on
LIFE CYCLE (FIRM)
Banks do not tend to receive loans unless the firm should have operating profits
- Share capital
- Equity ➜ reserves ➜ retained earnings (self-financing)
BALANCE SHEET
A=L
CURRENT ASSETS
- CASH
- ACCOUNT RECEIVABLE
- INVENTORY
- MARKETABLE SECURITIES
NON CURRENT ASSETS
- FIXED ASSETS
- TANGIBLE
- INTANGIBLE (FINANCIAL)
ACCOUNTS PAYABLE
SHORT TERM DEBT
CURRENT LIABILITIES
LONG TERM DEBT
EQUITY
- CAPITAL
- RESERVES
- RETAINED EARNINGS
INCOME STATEMENT
REVENUES
- COST OF GOODS SOLD
- MARKETING & ADMINISTRATIVE EXPENSES
EBITDA
- DEPRECIATION
- AMORTIZATION
EBIT
OPERATING INCOME
- FIN INCOME
- FIN EXPENSES
PROFIT BEFORE TAX
- TAX
NET INCOME
- Earnings per share (EPS) = NET INCOME / No. of shares
- REINVESTED
- RETURNED TO OWNERS -> DIVIDENDS (PAYOUT) -> PAYOUT POLICY -> PAYOUT RATIO
What to look for
- LIQUIDITY
- PROBABILITY OF DEFAULT
- OPPORTUNITY COST
- DEBT vs. EQUITY
- DEBT SERVICE
- DIFFERENT PAYOUTS ON THE EQUITY OF ASSETS
- ACCOUNTING VS MARKET VALUE (BOOK VALUE)
- (PRICE . No OF SHARES)
- STOCK PRICE VS BVPS
- PRICE TO BOOK RATIO
PBP
the number of years you need to repay the investment
Σ CFE=0
t=0
DISADVANTAGES
- not information about profitability
- doesn't consider CF after the PBP
- not included the timing of the CF
- how much money the firm doesn't get after the PBP
ADVANTAGE
- easy and quick
- useful to make comparisons
DISCOUNTED PAYBACK PERIOD
Σ CFt/(1+k)t = 0
t=0
- takes into account the timing of CF
NB: DPBP>PBP (CF are smaller because discounted)
NET PRESENT VALUE
Σ (CFt/(1+k)t)
- t=0
n = useful life of the project
DECISION RULE
NPV>0 investNPV<0 do not investNPNA NPVB>0 invest in project A rather than B
DCF
DCF=Σ(CFt/(1+k)t)
- t=0
f(k)
kj is a FUNCTION of k.NPV is the value assumed by the DCF with a given k.
INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN
value of i that makes DCF=0
DECISION RULE
IF k<IRR investIF k>IRR not invest
DISADVANTAGE
- does not take into account the SIZE of the investment
- IF some CF are negative, IRR not reliable
CAPM - CAPITAL ASSET PRICING MODEL
Ke = Rf + (B)(RPM)
(1) Risk free
Same currency of the cash flows generated by the investment
DEFAULT FREE RATE
LONG TERM
- 10 years government bond
BIAS (?)
GOVMNT. BOND RATE
SPREAD (given according to risk) ⇒ 2%
RISK FREE RATE ⇒ 6,5% (?)
So, if the government were default free:
Rf = 10Y Gov Bond Rate - DEF.SPREAD
Default Spread
Measure of the risk that a government defaults
Sovereign Bond Spread
NB
Every country different operational ratio for bonds which is paper
- Government bond issued in USD or Euros or Yen
- Compare it to the corresponding risk free bond (T-bills Bond)
- Compute the spread and subtract it to the interest rate of the bond issued in local currency
Credit Default Swap
Cost for protecting the investment from the currency risk
- pros ⇒ Updated continuously
- cons ⇒ Reaction to short-term expectations
Rating-Based Estimate
(2) Market Risk Premium
Measures with risk aversion of the investors
Average return of the stock market over the past vs Average return of government bonds ⇒ HISTORICAL AVERAGE (50 years)
SURVEY APPROACH (expected) → MARKET RISK PREMIUM
HISTORICAL APPROACH
- Choose the type of data set (e.g., errors)
- Frequency of observations
- Type of average (better geometric average)
PROS: Looks forward.
CONS: Extremely volatile short term based on individual expectations.
Do not use T-bills and T-bonds because they are short term.
BE CAREFUL IN DISTINGUISHING BETWEEN HISTORICAL VALUE OF MRP AND EXPECTATION
COST OF DEBT (Kd)
Kd depends on:
- RISK FREE RATE
- TAX BENEFITS
- CREDIT SPREAD
interest rates directly available
The firm is rated/NOT rated
recent borrowing history
INTEREST COVERAGE RATIO
The assumption is that Kd > Rf → Kd = (Rf + CREDIT SPREAD)
WEIGHTS D/E
A. Equity:
- better to use the market values of equity if available (although more stable, the book value gives just a past perspective)
B. DEBT:
- which debt? (financial debt no matter the time horizon)
- which value? (book value more stable, proxy if mkt value, use mkt value for quoted companies)
Calculating the WACC
WACC = KeE/E+D + Kd(1 - t)D/E+D
use a target capital structure based on market values of D and E
WACC is an opportunity cost of the financial resources (D and E) employed
where c of firm on average and cost
(cost of capital) of each investment
MAXIMISING the ENTERPRISE value
EV = ∑t=0∞(CFt/ (1 + WACC)t)
CASH FLOWS
- timing
- size
ASSUMPTIONS
- GROWTH RATE
- working capital
- currency
- CAPEX
- cost structure