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RELEVANT COSTS FOR DECISION MAKING
To be defined "relevant" for the design of a production system a cost should be:
- FUTURE COST (past is already "sunk")
- Only costs that haven't yet been paid (e.g. do not consider amortisation)
- AVOIDABLE COST (if we do not follow a certain design / plan we do not sustain that cost)
- Costs that are avoidable moving from a certain decision to an alternative one
- DIFFERENTIAL COST (with respect to other alternative designs / plans)
- Only costs that vary according to a different utilisation profile of the available resources analyse cost drivers
- Costs that occur only if a decision has been taken
- Don't take in consideration the accounting costs of "base case"
RELEVANT COSTS FOR DECISION MAKING
EFFICIENCY EFFECTIVENESS
- Production
- Transportation
- Penalties for Breakdown
- Waste/Rework
- CASH Returns
- Handling
- Quality Costs
- Direct Set Up Costs
- Direct Warehouse Costs
- Financial Costs
reinvesting the immobilised capital and depends on the cost/returns that it can produce.
Cost of capital= is the opportunity cost connected with making a specific investment. It's the RATE OF RETURN that could be earned by putting the same amount of money in another investment with equal risk.
ex. I invest 50.000 and I expect a i% of 12%/year => each year this investment produces me 6000€.
Monthly rate= (1+ i yearly) = (1+ i monthly) or Monthly rate = i% yearly / 12 months
12(GM*V) = Immobilised value
2.3. STOCK KEEPING COSTS - OBSOLESCENCE
Obsolescence costs is due to the fact that keeping a product in stock can generate value destruction.
Several causes:
EXPIRATION (Food, pharma)
TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENTS (More powerful computers)
REDESIGN (ex. Car restyling)
FASHION (Seasonal collections, capsules, events)
DEPRECIATION
Exogenous (lower components price)
Endogenous (damaging, weight loss)
3. SETUP COSTS
The setup is any variation that occur for the
production system(ie. change of production rate, change of the item (retooling)...)Made of two different elements, to be calculated on the basis of the activity that take place during the setup:
- Cash costs (consumption materials, extra defectiveness when restarting, cleaning materials, workforce, ...)
- Opportunity costs connected to the lost opportunities alternatives to doing the setup (ex. instead of doing setup I could have produced more items)
Pay extreme attention when calculating setup costs in order to avoid dangerous mistakes!
3.1. SETUP COSTS - WORKFORCE
Workforce costs —> fixed workforce —> if related to fixed workforce do not take place in the setup (not relevant).
Temporary extra time workers is variable (if they take part in the setup)
Cost = cost (direct workforce hour) x n° of people involved
3.2. SETUP COSTS - OPPORTUNITY
4. STOCKOUT COSTS
STOCKOUT takes place when an item is not available for delivering to the customer in the promised times.
Stockout
cost depends on purchasing behaviour of customers when stockout happens.There are 2 kind of costs:1. PHYSICAL STOCKOUT COSTS: Administration, duplication of activities, penalties, etc.2. OPPORTUNITY STOCKOUT COSTS: lost sales, current and future.4.1. STOCKOUT COSTS - CANCELLATIONCustomer behaviourCANCELLED ORDERImpact:- Immediate lost sales- Potential lost sales in the future (customers reducing their volumes, discounts,..)4.2. STOCKOUT COSTS - DELAYCustomer behaviourDELAYED ORDERImpact:- Remake documents for missing items- Additional expenses for picking and shipment of missing items- Changes to the production plan for producing the missing items- Possible discounts and/or penaltiesHow to evaluate an investment in production?- Cost analysis- Revenue/Saving Analysis- Cash Flow analysis- Discounted Cash Flow Analysis- IRR/Payback timeda pag. 39 a 46 sono esercizi.PRODUCTION PLANNING -Forecasting is the prerequisite of Planning.Planning means calculating what to do in order to satisfyThe dependent demand. When we start to PLAN, we need to calculate several things which are the Production Manager questions:
- WHAT to produce (which product),
- WHEN to produce, which is the time bucket (considered some time horizon),
- HOW to produce, which are the required raw materials..
- WHERE to produce (on which work center),
- HOW MUCH (which lot dimension)
Manufacturing, in order to optimise a given objective function, provided that the production plan satisfies all the con-straints.
PRODUCTION PLANNING IS COMPLEX! So we can use the hierarchical approach to simplify it.
The production planning is broken down in 3 levels:
- STRATEGIC
- PRODUCTION BUDGETING
- AGGREGATE PLANNING
- Horizon: 1 week/day (shift)
- Objectives: to effectively fulfill production orders
- Planned Item: each (single) part number
- Decision: when to produce, which workcentre, which sequence, etc.
- Pace: hour/real-time
- PRODUCTION SCHEDULING
- PRODUCTION CONTROL
- PERFORMANCE MEASUREMENT
- Only finished products are considered (not materials)
- Only the most critical production resources (bottlenecks *) are considered
- MPS (Master production schedule) is the basis for Materials Planning.
- MPS is a constraint for materials planning
- VARIABLE (i.e. a cost that varies depending on a company's production volume)
- FIXED (i.e. a cost that does not change with an increase or decrease in the amount of goods or services produced)
- DIRECT (i.e. a cost that can be easily and completely attributed to the production of specific goods or services)
- INDIRECT (i.e. a cost that is more difficult to assign to a specific product and calls for an arbitrary rule for assignment)
- is a future cost (past costs are sunk cost!)
- is avoidable (if we do not follow plan P1, we do not
Horizon: 2-5 years (long term)
Objectives: price, quality, service
Planned Item: production level as a whole
Decision: long term production capabilities (size and scope)
Pace: year
Horizon: 1 year (6 – 18 months)
Objectives: to fulfil forecasted demand at the lowest cost, to avoid stock-out
Planned Item: product families (groups,
The highest the details the shorter the time horizon! And the larger the volume of data, the stricter the constraints, the lower the economic impact of decisions!
AGGREGATE PLANNING: OVERVIEW
When we talk about planning:
MATERIALS PLANNING: OVERVIEW
Notice that:
very simple systems (in terms of bill of materials or production system),• this planning phase may be avoided
The output of this phase is the proposal of production orders and of purchasing orders•PRODUCTION SCHEDULING: OVERVIEWTHE WHOLE PROCESS
What about if the problem at some phase results unfeasible?e.g. material are not available for producing the production plane.g. machine capacity is not enough for producing the production orders within the planned delivery time
If a phase results unfeasible, the output of the previous phase must be modified, for instance by:- abandoning the optimal solution of aggregate planning- using safety stocks
The last constraint to be relaxed is usually demand constraint (i.e. service level)RELEVANT PRODUCTION COSTS
Going deep with aggregate planning we understand that AGGREGATE PLANING consists in:- Determination of feasible plans- Plans Evaluation—> The output will be the MPS.The most relevant costs for decision making about production
planning are:- overtime cost (work contract, operator's yield)- subcontracting cost (transport; quality control, know-how, marginal cost)- setup cost- stockout cost- stock holding cost
Generally costs could be:
We need to determine the most convenient plan (i.e. the plan which minimises the costs) among several feasible alternatives, then we consider "relevant" cost.
A cost is considered "relevant" if: